Harbaugh DFW Market Dashboard

Housing

DFW housing market

Metro-wide resale trends and pricing.

Median Home Price — DFW

Metro median closed sale price

Live

$379,990

MoM: −2.3%
3-mo: −3.8%
YoY: −1.6%

Updated through September 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

Months Supply — DFW

Active listings ÷ sales pace

Live

4.5 mo

MoM: +0.1
3-mo: +0.0
YoY: −0.1

Updated through September 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

Sales Volume — DFW

Monthly closed sales, units

Live

7,228

MoM: −6.5%
3-mo: −25.6%
YoY: −6.6%

Updated through September 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

S&P CoreLogic/Cotality Case-Shiller TX-Dallas Home Price Index

Jan 2000 = 100

Live

294.3

MoM: −0.8%
3-mo: −0.6%
YoY: −0.8%

Updated through August 2026

Source: S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller / FRED

Local markets

Arlington & Mansfield housing market

Side-by-side read on Arlington and Mansfield markets

Arlington Median Home Price

City of Arlington

Live

$326,750

MoM: +1.8%
3-mo: −3.9%
YoY: −0.7%

Updated through September 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

Arlington Months Supply

Months of inventory

Live

3.6 mo

MoM: +0.1
3-mo: +0.2
YoY: 0.0

Updated through September 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

Mansfield Median Home Price

City of Mansfield

Live

$485,000

MoM: −3.0%
3-mo: +12.1%
YoY: +4.3%

Updated through September 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

Mansfield Months Supply

Months of inventory

Live

3.5 mo

MoM: +0.3
3-mo: +0.4
YoY: −0.7

Updated through September 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

Macro

National economy / rates

Rates, inflation, and national benchmarks that shape payment math.

30-Year Mortgage Rate vs 10-Year Treasury Yield

Primary market mortgage vs benchmark yield; spread shown at latest

Live

30-yr mortgage

7.18%

10-yr Treasury

4.90%

Spread

+2.28 pp

Updated through November 2026

30-yr mortgage10-yr Treasury

Source: Freddie Mac / FRED

M2 Money Supply — U.S.

Broad money stock

Live

$23.4T

MoM: +0.5%
3-mo: +1.5%
YoY: +5.7%

Updated through September 2026

Source: FRED

Federal Funds Target Rate

Effective federal funds rate

Live

3.88%

MoM: +0.13 pts
3-mo: +0.25 pts
YoY: −0.21 pts

Updated through October 2026

Source: FRED

CPI Inflation — U.S.

Headline CPI, year-over-year

Live

4.02%

MoM: +0.6%
3-mo: +1.1%
YoY: +4.0%

Updated through September 2026

Source: FRED

U.S. National Debt

Total public debt outstanding

Live

$39.5T

QoQ: +1.0%
3-qtr: +4.8%
YoY: +9.0%

Updated through April 2026

Source: FRED

Real GDP — U.S.

Real GDP growth, year-over-year

Live

2.07%

QoQ: −0.13 pts
YoY: −0.53 pts
3-yr: −1.12 pts

Updated through July 2026

Source: FRED

Unemployment Rate — U.S.

Seasonally adjusted

Live

4.20%

MoM: +0.10 pts
3-mo: 0.00 pts
YoY: −0.10 pts

Updated through September 2026

Source: FRED

Household Income — U.S.

Median household income, nominal

Live

$87,460

YoY: +5.2%
2-yr: +8.5%
3-yr: +17.3%

Updated through January 2025

Source: FRED

S&P CoreLogic/Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index

Jan 2000 = 100

Live

336.7

MoM: −0.2%
3-mo: +0.3%
YoY: +2.1%

Updated through August 2026

Source: S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller / FRED

Regional

DFW / Texas economy

Texas and DFW labor and price conditions.

Unemployment Rate — Texas

Statewide, seasonally adjusted

Live

4.40%

MoM: 0.00 pts
3-mo: 0.00 pts
YoY: +0.20 pts

Updated through September 2026

Source: BLS / FRED

CPI Inflation — DFW

Metro CPI, year-over-year

Live

4.88%

MoM: +0.7%
3-mo: +0.4%
YoY: +4.9%

Updated through September 2026

Source: BLS / FRED

Real GDP — Texas

State real GDP growth, year-over-year (quarterly)

Live

1.69%

QoQ: −1.43 pts
YoY: −1.79 pts
3-yr: −8.15 pts

Updated through April 2026

Source: FRED

Narrative

Market Notes

Current observations and context for the latest market data.

National Economic Backdrop

The 30-year mortgage rate has risen to 7.32% as of October 2026, reflecting a monthly increase of 0.29 points. The federal funds target rate stands at 3.75%, with a slight month-over-month increase. Inflation, as measured by the CPI, is reported at 4.02%, indicating ongoing upward pressure on prices.

DFW Market Summary

The median home price in the DFW area is currently $379,990, showing a year-over-year decline of 1.6%. The months of inventory available is at 4.5 months, which has remained stable over the past three months. Home sales volume has decreased significantly, with a total of 7,228 sales recorded, marking a year-over-year drop of 6.6%.

Arlington Housing Market

In Arlington, the median home price is $326,750, reflecting a modest increase of 1.8% month-over-month. The months of inventory stands at 3.6, which has seen a slight increase over the past three months. Year-over-year, the price has decreased by 0.7%.

Mansfield Housing Market

Mansfield's median home price is currently $485,000, having decreased by 3.0% month-over-month. The inventory level is at 3.5 months, which has increased slightly over the past three months. Year-over-year, home prices in Mansfield have risen by 4.3%.

Generated October 25, 2026

Median Home Price — DFW?The middle sale price in the market: half of homes sold above and half below this level.

Months Supply — DFW?Estimates how many months it would take to sell current inventory at the current sales pace.

Sales Volume — DFW?Count of closed home sales in the period, indicating market activity.

S&P CoreLogic/Cotality Case-Shiller TX-Dallas Home Price Index?Tracks changes in residential home prices over time. It is an index, not a dollar price.

Arlington Median Home Price?The middle sale price in the market: half of homes sold above and half below this level.

Arlington Months Supply?Estimates how many months it would take to sell current inventory at the current sales pace.

Mansfield Median Home Price?The middle sale price in the market: half of homes sold above and half below this level.

Mansfield Months Supply?Estimates how many months it would take to sell current inventory at the current sales pace.

30-Year Mortgage Rate vs 10-Year Treasury Yield?Market yield on U.S. government bonds, often used as a benchmark for long-term rates.

M2 Money Supply — U.S.?Broad measure of money in circulation, including cash, deposits, and money-market funds.

Federal Funds Target Rate?The interest rate banks charge each other for overnight loans; a key Fed policy lever.

CPI Inflation — U.S.?Measures changes in consumer prices. Inflation rates are calculated from the CPI index.

U.S. National Debt?Total federal debt outstanding owed by the U.S. government.

Real GDP — U.S.?Inflation-adjusted output of the economy. Growth rates show how fast activity is expanding.

Unemployment Rate — U.S.?Share of the labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking work.

Household Income — U.S.?Median income for U.S. households: half earn more and half earn less than this amount.

S&P CoreLogic/Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index?Tracks changes in residential home prices over time. It is an index, not a dollar price.

Unemployment Rate — Texas?Share of the labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking work.

CPI Inflation — DFW?Measures changes in consumer prices. Inflation rates are calculated from the CPI index.

Real GDP — Texas?Inflation-adjusted output of the economy. Growth rates show how fast activity is expanding.

National Economic Backdrop

DFW Market Summary

Arlington Housing Market

Mansfield Housing Market

Median Home Price — DFW

Months Supply — DFW

Sales Volume — DFW

S&P CoreLogic/Cotality Case-Shiller TX-Dallas Home Price Index

Arlington Median Home Price

Arlington Months Supply

Mansfield Median Home Price

Mansfield Months Supply

30-Year Mortgage Rate vs 10-Year Treasury Yield

M2 Money Supply — U.S.

Federal Funds Target Rate

CPI Inflation — U.S.

U.S. National Debt

Real GDP — U.S.

Unemployment Rate — U.S.

Household Income — U.S.

S&P CoreLogic/Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index

Unemployment Rate — Texas

CPI Inflation — DFW

Real GDP — Texas