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Harbaugh DFW Market Dashboard

A compact read on North Texas housing, mortgage markets, and the broader economy.

As of July 23, 2026

Market Summary

Housing

DFW housing market

Metro-wide resale trends and pricing.

Median Home Price — DFW

Metro median closed sale price

Live

$399,999

MoM
−0.0%
3-mo
+4.0%
YoY
−0.0%

Updated through June 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

Months Supply — DFW

Active listings ÷ sales pace

Live

4.5 mo

MoM
+0.1
3-mo
+0.5
YoY
−0.3

Updated through June 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

Sales Volume — DFW

Monthly closed sales, units

Live

9,529

MoM
+4.1%
3-mo
+16.4%
YoY
+6.5%

Updated through June 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

S&P CoreLogic/Cotality Case-Shiller TX-Dallas Home Price Index

Jan 2000 = 100

Live

293.3

MoM
+0.9%
3-mo
+1.3%
YoY
−1.6%

Updated through April 2026

Source: S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller / FRED

Local markets

Arlington & Mansfield housing market

Side-by-side read on Arlington and Mansfield markets

Arlington Median Home Price

City of Arlington

Live

$339,995

MoM
+3.8%
3-mo
−1.5%
YoY
+1.6%

Updated through June 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

Arlington Months Supply

Months of inventory

Live

3.5 mo

MoM
+0.3
3-mo
+0.5
YoY
−0.1

Updated through June 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

Mansfield Median Home Price

City of Mansfield

Live

$438,750

MoM
−14.8%
3-mo
−7.4%
YoY
−6.6%

Updated through June 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

Mansfield Months Supply

Months of inventory

Live

3.1 mo

MoM
+0.1
3-mo
−0.0
YoY
−1.2

Updated through June 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

Macro

National economy / rates

Rates, inflation, and national benchmarks that shape payment math.

30-Year Mortgage Rate vs 10-Year Treasury Yield

Primary market mortgage vs benchmark yield; spread shown at latest

Live

30-yr mortgage

6.55%

10-yr Treasury

4.63%

Spread

+1.92 pp

Updated through July 2026

30-yr mortgage10-yr Treasury

Source: Freddie Mac / FRED

M2 Money Supply — U.S.

Broad money stock

Live

$23.1T

MoM
+1.1%
3-mo
+1.9%
YoY
+5.6%

Updated through May 2026

Source: FRED

Federal Funds Target Rate

Effective federal funds rate

Live

3.63%

MoM
0.00 pts
3-mo
−0.01 pts
YoY
−0.70 pts

Updated through June 2026

Source: FRED

CPI Inflation — U.S.

Headline CPI, year-over-year

Live

3.73%

MoM
−0.4%
3-mo
+0.7%
YoY
+3.7%

Updated through June 2026

Source: FRED

U.S. National Debt

Total public debt outstanding

Live

$39.1T

QoQ
+1.4%
3-qtr
+7.9%
YoY
+7.9%

Updated through January 2026

Source: FRED

Real GDP — U.S.

Real GDP growth, year-over-year

Live

2.68%

QoQ
+0.70 pts
YoY
+0.67 pts
3-yr
+0.37 pts

Updated through January 2026

Source: FRED

Unemployment Rate — U.S.

Seasonally adjusted

Live

4.20%

MoM
−0.10 pts
3-mo
−0.10 pts
YoY
−0.10 pts

Updated through June 2026

Source: FRED

Household Income — U.S.

Median household income, nominal

Live

$83,730

YoY
+3.9%
2-yr
+12.3%
3-yr
+18.3%

Updated through January 2024

Source: FRED

S&P CoreLogic/Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index

Jan 2000 = 100

Live

332.7

MoM
+0.8%
3-mo
+1.8%
YoY
+0.8%

Updated through April 2026

Source: S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller / FRED

Regional

DFW / Texas economy

Texas and DFW labor and price conditions.

Unemployment Rate — Texas

Statewide, seasonally adjusted

Live

4.40%

MoM
+0.10 pts
3-mo
+0.10 pts
YoY
+0.30 pts

Updated through June 2026

Source: BLS / FRED

CPI Inflation — DFW

Metro CPI, year-over-year

Live

3.21%

MoM
−0.3%
3-mo
+2.9%
YoY
+3.2%

Updated through May 2026

Source: BLS / FRED

Real GDP — Texas

State real GDP growth, year-over-year (quarterly)

Live

3.27%

QoQ
+1.01 pts
YoY
+0.80 pts
3-yr
−3.91 pts

Updated through January 2026

Source: FRED

Narrative

Market Notes

Current observations and context for the latest market data.

National Economic Backdrop

The 30-year mortgage rate currently stands at 6.47%, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.06 points month-over-month. The Federal Funds Target Rate is at 3.63%, unchanged over the past month. The U.S. unemployment rate remains steady at 4.30%, while CPI inflation is reported at 4.27%, indicating a month-over-month increase of 0.5%.

DFW Market Summary

The median sale price for homes in the DFW area is $400,000, showing a month-over-month increase of 3.2%. The months of inventory is currently at 4.4 months, which is a slight rise of 0.2 months from the previous month. Home sales volume has reached 9,233, up 5.2% from the prior month, suggesting a stable market with modest growth.

Arlington Housing Market

In Arlington, the median home price is $328,455, which has decreased by 3.4% month-over-month. The months of inventory remains low at 3.2 months, unchanged from last month, indicating a competitive market despite the recent price decline.

Mansfield Housing Market

Mansfield's median home price is currently $519,990, reflecting a month-over-month increase of 6.1%. The months of inventory is at 3.0 months, which has increased by 0.2 months since last month, suggesting a slight easing in market conditions while prices continue to rise.

Generated June 25, 2026