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Harbaugh DFW Market Dashboard

A compact read on North Texas housing, mortgage markets, and the broader economy.

As of September 21, 2026

Market Summary

Housing

DFW housing market

Metro-wide resale trends and pricing.

Median Home Price — DFW

Metro median closed sale price

Live

$389,000

MoM
−0.3%
3-mo
−2.5%
YoY
+0.6%

Updated through August 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

Months Supply — DFW

Active listings ÷ sales pace

Live

4.4 mo

MoM
−0.2
3-mo
+0.0
YoY
−0.3

Updated through August 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

Sales Volume — DFW

Monthly closed sales, units

Live

7,750

MoM
−11.2%
3-mo
−16.4%
YoY
−5.5%

Updated through August 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

S&P CoreLogic/Cotality Case-Shiller TX-Dallas Home Price Index

Jan 2000 = 100

Live

297.2

MoM
+0.3%
3-mo
+2.2%
YoY
−0.7%

Updated through June 2026

Source: S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller / FRED

Local markets

Arlington & Mansfield housing market

Side-by-side read on Arlington and Mansfield markets

Arlington Median Home Price

City of Arlington

Live

$320,000

MoM
−3.2%
3-mo
−2.2%
YoY
−1.5%

Updated through August 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

Arlington Months Supply

Months of inventory

Live

3.5 mo

MoM
−0.1
3-mo
+0.3
YoY
−0.2

Updated through August 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

Mansfield Median Home Price

City of Mansfield

Live

$498,000

MoM
+7.6%
3-mo
−3.3%
YoY
+6.0%

Updated through August 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

Mansfield Months Supply

Months of inventory

Live

3.1 mo

MoM
−0.0
3-mo
+0.2
YoY
−1.1

Updated through August 2026

Source: Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University

Macro

National economy / rates

Rates, inflation, and national benchmarks that shape payment math.

30-Year Mortgage Rate vs 10-Year Treasury Yield

Primary market mortgage vs benchmark yield; spread shown at latest

Live

30-yr mortgage

6.95%

10-yr Treasury

4.94%

Spread

+2.01 pp

Updated through September 2026

30-yr mortgage10-yr Treasury

Source: Freddie Mac / FRED

M2 Money Supply — U.S.

Broad money stock

Live

$23.2T

MoM
+0.4%
3-mo
+2.0%
YoY
+5.4%

Updated through July 2026

Source: FRED

Federal Funds Target Rate

Effective federal funds rate

Live

3.63%

MoM
0.00 pts
3-mo
0.00 pts
YoY
−0.70 pts

Updated through August 2026

Source: FRED

CPI Inflation — U.S.

Headline CPI, year-over-year

Live

3.71%

MoM
+0.4%
3-mo
+0.0%
YoY
+3.7%

Updated through August 2026

Source: FRED

U.S. National Debt

Total public debt outstanding

Live

$39.1T

QoQ
+1.4%
3-qtr
+7.9%
YoY
+7.9%

Updated through January 2026

Source: FRED

Real GDP — U.S.

Real GDP growth, year-over-year

Live

2.10%

QoQ
−0.59 pts
YoY
+0.02 pts
3-yr
−0.69 pts

Updated through April 2026

Source: FRED

Unemployment Rate — U.S.

Seasonally adjusted

Live

4.10%

MoM
0.00 pts
3-mo
−0.20 pts
YoY
−0.20 pts

Updated through August 2026

Source: FRED

Household Income — U.S.

Median household income, nominal

Live

$87,460

YoY
+5.2%
2-yr
+8.5%
3-yr
+17.3%

Updated through January 2025

Source: FRED

S&P CoreLogic/Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index

Jan 2000 = 100

Live

336.7

MoM
+0.4%
3-mo
+1.9%
YoY
+1.5%

Updated through June 2026

Source: S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller / FRED

Regional

DFW / Texas economy

Texas and DFW labor and price conditions.

Unemployment Rate — Texas

Statewide, seasonally adjusted

Live

4.40%

MoM
−0.10 pts
3-mo
+0.10 pts
YoY
+0.20 pts

Updated through August 2026

Source: BLS / FRED

CPI Inflation — DFW

Metro CPI, year-over-year

Live

3.78%

MoM
−0.1%
3-mo
+2.6%
YoY
+3.8%

Updated through July 2026

Source: BLS / FRED

Real GDP — Texas

State real GDP growth, year-over-year (quarterly)

Live

3.27%

QoQ
+1.01 pts
YoY
+0.80 pts
3-yr
−3.91 pts

Updated through January 2026

Source: FRED

Narrative

Market Notes

Current observations and context for the latest market data.

National Economic Backdrop

The 30-year mortgage rate stands at 6.65%, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.01 points month-over-month. The Federal Funds Target Rate remains unchanged at 3.63%, while the unemployment rate is at 4.10%, showing a minor decline over the past month. CPI inflation is recorded at 3.54%, indicating a modest increase of 0.1% from the previous month.

DFW Market Summary

The median sale price for homes in the DFW area is $395,000, which represents a year-over-year decline of 1.2%. The months of inventory has increased to 4.6 months, up 0.1 month from last month. Home sales volume has decreased significantly, with 8,496 sales recorded, reflecting an 11.5% drop from the previous month.

Arlington Housing Market

In Arlington, the median home price is $332,500, showing a month-over-month decrease of 2.2%. The months of inventory has risen to 3.6 months, which is an increase of 0.2 months from the previous month. Year-over-year, the median price has increased by 2.3%.

Mansfield Housing Market

Mansfield's median home price is currently $450,000, which marks a 4.0% increase from the previous month. The months of inventory in Mansfield is at 3.2 months, reflecting a slight increase of 0.1 month month-over-month. However, the year-over-year comparison shows a decrease of 4.3% in median price.

Generated August 25, 2026